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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Sporting CP vs Marítimo — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Sporting CP win
79%
Draw
13%
Marítimo win
8%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams score54%
Sporting CPWWDDW2nd · 18 pts
MarítimoLLLDL11th · 8 pts

Ahead of Sporting CP v Marítimo in the Primeira Liga on 6 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Sporting CP the most likely outcome at 79%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.9 for Sporting CP and 0.9 for Marítimo. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sporting CP goals down (↓), Marítimo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Sporting CP
W@ Braga3–1
Dvs Arouca2–2
D@ Famalicão1–1
Wvs CD Nacional2–0
W@ Rio Ave4–0
Marítimo
Lvs Porto1–2
D@ Gil Vicente1–1
L@ Moreirense1–3
Lvs SL Benfica0–3
L@ Arouca1–2

FAQ

Who will win Sporting CP vs Marítimo?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Sporting CP the most likely result at 79%. Full split: Sporting CP win 79%, draw 13%, Marítimo win 8%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sporting CP vs Marítimo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Sporting CP 2–0 Marítimo). Projected goals: Sporting CP 2.9, Marítimo 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

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