Footyntel.

Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Santa Clara vs Arouca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sun 21 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Santa Clara win
44%
Draw
29%
Arouca win
28%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.3 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams score44%
Santa ClaraDWWDW3rd · 18 pts
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts

Ahead of Santa Clara v Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 21 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Santa Clara the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.3 for Santa Clara and 0.9 for Arouca. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Santa Clara goals down (↓), Arouca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Santa Clara vs Arouca?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Santa Clara the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Santa Clara win 44%, draw 29%, Arouca win 28%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Santa Clara vs Arouca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Santa Clara 1–0 Arouca). Projected goals: Santa Clara 1.3, Arouca 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring.

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