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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Rio Ave vs Arouca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 29 · Sun 11 Apr, 00:00 UTC

Rio Ave win
16%
Draw
20%
Arouca win
64%
Most likely score0–2
Projected goals0.9 – 2.1
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score53%
Rio AveWLLDL16th · 4 pts
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts

Ahead of Rio Ave v Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 11 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–2, with projected goals of 0.9 for Rio Ave and 2.1 for Arouca. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Rio Ave goals down (↓), Arouca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Rio Ave vs Arouca?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arouca the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Rio Ave win 16%, draw 20%, Arouca win 64%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Arouca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–2 (Rio Ave 0–2 Arouca). Projected goals: Rio Ave 0.9, Arouca 2.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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