Footyntel.

Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Marítimo 1–2 Porto

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sat 10 Oct, 17:00 UTC · Full time

1 – 2

Marítimo 1–2 Porto — Porto won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Porto to win at 86%, and the exact 1–2 scoreline at about 7%.

Pre-match model view

Marítimo win
4%
Draw
10%
Porto win
86%
Most likely score0–2
Projected goals0.4 – 2.8
Over 2.5 goals63%
Both teams score33%
MarítimoLLLDL11th · 8 pts
PortoWWWWW1st · 24 pts

Ahead of Marítimo v Porto in the Primeira Liga on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Porto the most likely outcome at 86%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–2, with projected goals of 0.4 for Marítimo and 2.8 for Porto. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and 33% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Marítimo goals down (↓), Porto goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — Marítimo 0W · 0D · 1L.

Marítimo1–2Porto

Recent form

Marítimo
Lvs Porto1–2
D@ Gil Vicente1–1
L@ Moreirense1–3
Lvs SL Benfica0–3
L@ Arouca1–2
Porto
W@ Marítimo2–1
Wvs SL Benfica3–1
W@ Casa Pia4–1
Wvs Moreirense2–1
W@ Acad. Viseu3–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Marítimo winDrawPorto win

FAQ

Who will win Marítimo vs Porto?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Porto the most likely result at 86%. Full split: Marítimo win 4%, draw 10%, Porto win 86%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Marítimo vs Porto?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–2 (Marítimo 0–2 Porto). Projected goals: Marítimo 0.4, Porto 2.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring.

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