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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Marítimo vs Alverca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 34 · Sun 16 May, 00:00 UTC

Marítimo win
34%
Draw
25%
Alverca win
41%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score56%
MarítimoLLLDL11th · 8 pts
AlvercaLDLWW10th · 8 pts

Ahead of Marítimo v Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 16 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Alverca the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Marítimo and 1.5 for Alverca. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Marítimo goals down (↓), Alverca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Marítimo vs Alverca?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Alverca the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Marítimo win 34%, draw 25%, Alverca win 41%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Marítimo vs Alverca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Marítimo 1–1 Alverca). Projected goals: Marítimo 1.3, Alverca 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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