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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

CD Nacional vs Arouca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 27 · Sun 21 Mar, 00:00 UTC

CD Nacional win
22%
Draw
22%
Arouca win
56%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.1 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score56%
CD NacionalLLLLL15th · 4 pts
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts

Ahead of CD Nacional v Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 21 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.1 for CD Nacional and 1.9 for Arouca. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — CD Nacional goals down (↓), Arouca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win CD Nacional vs Arouca?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arouca the most likely result at 56%. Full split: CD Nacional win 22%, draw 22%, Arouca win 56%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for CD Nacional vs Arouca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (CD Nacional 1–1 Arouca). Projected goals: CD Nacional 1.1, Arouca 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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