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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Casa Pia vs CD Nacional — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sun 13 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Casa Pia win
18%
Draw
25%
CD Nacional win
57%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.8 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals41%
Both teams score42%
Casa PiaLDLWL17th · 4 pts
CD NacionalLLLLL15th · 5 pts

Ahead of Casa Pia v CD Nacional in the Primeira Liga on 13 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for CD Nacional the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.8 for Casa Pia and 1.6 for CD Nacional. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Casa Pia goals down (↓), CD Nacional goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Casa Pia 0W · 1D · 1L.

CD Nacional0–0Casa Pia
Casa Pia0–2CD Nacional

Recent form

Casa Pia
Lvs Santa Clara0–1
W@ Estoril Praia2–1
Lvs Porto1–4
D@ Vitória SC0–0
Lvs Moreirense0–1
CD Nacional
Lvs Famalicão0–4
Lvs Alverca1–3
L@ Sporting CP0–2
Lvs Amadora2–3
L@ Vitória SC0–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Casa Pia winDrawCD Nacional win

FAQ

Who will win Casa Pia vs CD Nacional?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for CD Nacional the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Casa Pia win 18%, draw 25%, CD Nacional win 57%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Casa Pia vs CD Nacional?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Casa Pia 0–1 CD Nacional). Projected goals: Casa Pia 0.8, CD Nacional 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring.

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