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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Braga vs Arouca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 13 · Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 UTC

Braga win
46%
Draw
25%
Arouca win
29%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score56%
BragaWLWDL8th · 11 pts
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts

Ahead of Braga v Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 6 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Braga the most likely outcome at 46%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Braga and 1.2 for Arouca. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Braga goals down (↓), Arouca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Braga vs Arouca?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Braga the most likely result at 46%. Full split: Braga win 46%, draw 25%, Arouca win 29%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Braga vs Arouca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Braga 1–1 Arouca). Projected goals: Braga 1.6, Arouca 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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