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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Braga vs Alverca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 22 · Sun 14 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Braga win
54%
Draw
24%
Alverca win
22%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.7 – 1
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams score51%
BragaWLWDL8th · 11 pts
AlvercaLDLWW10th · 8 pts

Ahead of Braga v Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 14 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Braga the most likely outcome at 54%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.7 for Braga and 1 for Alverca. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Braga goals down (↓), Alverca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Braga vs Alverca?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Braga the most likely result at 54%. Full split: Braga win 54%, draw 24%, Alverca win 22%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Braga vs Alverca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Braga 1–0 Alverca). Projected goals: Braga 1.7, Alverca 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring.

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