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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Arouca vs SL Benfica — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sun 10 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Arouca win
7%
Draw
12%
SL Benfica win
81%
Most likely score0–3
Projected goals0.8 – 3
Over 2.5 goals75%
Both teams score54%
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts
SL BenficaWWWWL4th · 16 pts

Ahead of Arouca v SL Benfica in the Primeira Liga on 10 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for SL Benfica the most likely outcome at 81%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–3, with projected goals of 0.8 for Arouca and 3 for SL Benfica. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arouca goals down (↓), SL Benfica goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Arouca vs SL Benfica?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for SL Benfica the most likely result at 81%. Full split: Arouca win 7%, draw 12%, SL Benfica win 81%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arouca vs SL Benfica?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–3 (Arouca 0–3 SL Benfica). Projected goals: Arouca 0.8, SL Benfica 3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

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