Footyntel.

Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Arouca vs Gil Vicente — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 33 · Sun 9 May, 00:00 UTC

Arouca win
26%
Draw
28%
Gil Vicente win
46%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals39%
Both teams score44%
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts
Gil VicenteDLLDW7th · 11 pts

Ahead of Arouca v Gil Vicente in the Primeira Liga on 9 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Gil Vicente the most likely outcome at 46%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.9 for Arouca and 1.3 for Gil Vicente. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arouca goals down (↓), Gil Vicente goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

1114941010139410564210121100000000000000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Arouca 1W · 1D · 0L.

Gil Vicente1–3Arouca
Arouca2–2Gil Vicente

Recent form

Arouca
D@ Sporting CP2–2
Lvs Santa Clara1–2
D@ Estoril Praia0–0
Wvs Marítimo2–1
L@ Porto0–2
Gil Vicente
W@ Moreirense1–0
Dvs Marítimo1–1
L@ SL Benfica1–3
Lvs Acad. Viseu0–1
D@ Famalicão0–0
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Arouca winDrawGil Vicente win

FAQ

Who will win Arouca vs Gil Vicente?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Gil Vicente the most likely result at 46%. Full split: Arouca win 26%, draw 28%, Gil Vicente win 46%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Gil Vicente?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Arouca 0–1 Gil Vicente). Projected goals: Arouca 0.9, Gil Vicente 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring.

← Primeira Liga table & projection