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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Arouca vs CD Nacional — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 10 · Sun 1 Nov, 15:30 UTC

Arouca win
48%
Draw
24%
CD Nacional win
28%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score57%
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts
CD NacionalLLLLL15th · 4 pts

Ahead of Arouca v CD Nacional in the Primeira Liga on 1 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 48%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Arouca and 1.2 for CD Nacional. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arouca goals down (↓), CD Nacional goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Arouca vs CD Nacional?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arouca the most likely result at 48%. Full split: Arouca win 48%, draw 24%, CD Nacional win 28%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arouca vs CD Nacional?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Arouca 1–1 CD Nacional). Projected goals: Arouca 1.7, CD Nacional 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring.

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