Arouca vs Casa Pia — Match Prediction
Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sun 20 Dec, 00:00 UTC
AroucaLWDLD
Casa PiaLDLWLAhead of Arouca v Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on 20 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 64%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Arouca and 0.7 for Casa Pia. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Arouca goals down (↓), Casa Pia goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Arouca winDrawCasa Pia win
FAQ
Who will win Arouca vs Casa Pia?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arouca the most likely result at 64%. Full split: Arouca win 64%, draw 22%, Casa Pia win 14%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Casa Pia?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Arouca 1–0 Casa Pia). Projected goals: Arouca 1.9, Casa Pia 0.7.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring.