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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Arouca vs Amadora — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sun 11 Oct, 19:30 UTC

Arouca win
39%
Draw
22%
Amadora win
39%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.8 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams score69%
FCAAroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts
AMAAmadoraWDWDL9th · 10 pts

Ahead of Arouca v Amadora in the Primeira Liga on 11 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.8 for Arouca and 1.8 for Amadora. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Arouca vs Amadora?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arouca the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Arouca win 39%, draw 22%, Amadora win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Amadora?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Arouca 1–1 Amadora). Projected goals: Arouca 1.8, Amadora 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.

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