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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Arouca vs Alverca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 26 · Sun 14 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Arouca win
42%
Draw
25%
Alverca win
33%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score58%
FCAAroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts
ALVAlvercaLDLWW10th · 8 pts

Ahead of Arouca v Alverca in the Primeira Liga on 14 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 42%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Arouca and 1.3 for Alverca. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Arouca vs Alverca?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Arouca the most likely result at 42%. Full split: Arouca win 42%, draw 25%, Alverca win 33%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Arouca vs Alverca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Arouca 1–1 Alverca). Projected goals: Arouca 1.5, Alverca 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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