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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Amadora vs Arouca — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 25 · Sun 7 Mar, 00:00 UTC

Amadora win
31%
Draw
22%
Arouca win
48%
Most likely score1–2
Projected goals1.6 – 2
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams score69%
AmadoraWDWDL9th · 10 pts
AroucaLWDLD6th · 11 pts

Ahead of Amadora v Arouca in the Primeira Liga on 7 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arouca the most likely outcome at 48%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–2, with projected goals of 1.6 for Amadora and 2 for Arouca. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 69% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Amadora goals down (↓), Arouca goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Amadora vs Arouca?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arouca the most likely result at 48%. Full split: Amadora win 31%, draw 22%, Arouca win 48%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Amadora vs Arouca?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–2 (Amadora 1–2 Arouca). Projected goals: Amadora 1.6, Arouca 2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring.

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