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Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Alverca vs Marítimo — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sun 10 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Alverca win
34%
Draw
25%
Marítimo win
41%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals52%
Both teams score56%
AlvercaLDLWW10th · 8 pts
MarítimoLLLDL11th · 8 pts

Ahead of Alverca v Marítimo in the Primeira Liga on 10 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Marítimo the most likely outcome at 41%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Alverca and 1.5 for Marítimo. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and 56% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alverca goals down (↓), Marítimo goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Alverca
Wvs Rio Ave1–0
W@ CD Nacional3–1
Lvs Braga1–2
Dvs Santa Clara1–1
L@ Sporting CP1–3
Marítimo
Lvs Porto1–2
D@ Gil Vicente1–1
L@ Moreirense1–3
Lvs SL Benfica0–3
L@ Arouca1–2

FAQ

Who will win Alverca vs Marítimo?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Marítimo the most likely result at 41%. Full split: Alverca win 34%, draw 25%, Marítimo win 41%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alverca vs Marítimo?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Alverca 1–1 Marítimo). Projected goals: Alverca 1.3, Marítimo 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring.

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