Footyntel.

Primeira Liga · Fixtures

Alverca vs CD Nacional — Match Prediction

Primeira Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sun 21 Feb, 00:00 UTC

Alverca win
39%
Draw
26%
CD Nacional win
35%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams score54%
AlvercaLDLWW10th · 8 pts
CD NacionalLLLLL15th · 4 pts

Ahead of Alverca v CD Nacional in the Primeira Liga on 21 February 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Alverca the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Alverca and 1.3 for CD Nacional. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Alverca goals down (↓), CD Nacional goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

79621010128310795210343100111000000000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Alverca vs CD Nacional?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Alverca the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Alverca win 39%, draw 26%, CD Nacional win 35%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Alverca vs CD Nacional?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Alverca 1–1 CD Nacional). Projected goals: Alverca 1.4, CD Nacional 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

← Primeira Liga table & projection