Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Sunderland vs Newcastle — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 34 · Sat 1 May, 14:00 UTC

Sunderland win
32%
Draw
24%
Newcastle win
44%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals57%
Both teams score59%
SunderlandWDLLL16th · 4 pts
NewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts

Ahead of Sunderland v Newcastle in the Premier League on 1 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Newcastle the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Sunderland and 1.6 for Newcastle. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Sunderland goals down (↓), Newcastle goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Sunderland vs Newcastle?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Newcastle the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Sunderland win 32%, draw 24%, Newcastle win 44%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Newcastle?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Sunderland 1–1 Newcastle). Projected goals: Sunderland 1.3, Newcastle 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

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