Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Newcastle vs Tottenham — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 32 · Sat 17 Apr, 14:00 UTC

Newcastle win
58%
Draw
22%
Tottenham win
20%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.9 – 1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score53%
NewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts
TottenhamLDDLD18th · 3 pts

Ahead of Newcastle v Tottenham in the Premier League on 17 April 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely outcome at 58%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Newcastle and 1 for Tottenham. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Newcastle goals down (↓), Tottenham goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

6631001111520010105200663100331000111000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Newcastle 2W · 1D · 0L.

Tottenham0–2Newcastle
Tottenham1–2Newcastle
Newcastle2–2Tottenham

Recent form

Newcastle
Wvs Hull City2–1
L@ Leeds United1–4
Dvs Bournemouth2–2
W@ Tottenham2–0
Dvs Liverpool2–2
Tottenham
D@ Man United1–1
Lvs Aston Villa2–3
Dvs Everton0–0
D@ Nottingham0–0
Lvs Newcastle0–2

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle vs Tottenham?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely result at 58%. Full split: Newcastle win 58%, draw 22%, Tottenham win 20%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Tottenham?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Newcastle 1–0 Tottenham). Projected goals: Newcastle 1.9, Tottenham 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

← Premier League table & projection