Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Newcastle vs Sunderland — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 14 · Sat 5 Dec, 15:00 UTC

Newcastle win
57%
Draw
22%
Sunderland win
21%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score58%
NEWNewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts
SUNSunderlandWDLLL16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Newcastle v Sunderland in the Premier League on 5 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely outcome at 57%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Newcastle and 1.1 for Sunderland. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle vs Sunderland?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely result at 57%. Full split: Newcastle win 57%, draw 22%, Sunderland win 21%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Sunderland?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Newcastle 1–1 Sunderland). Projected goals: Newcastle 1.9, Sunderland 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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