Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Newcastle vs Aston Villa — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 16:30 UTC

Newcastle win
50%
Draw
22%
Aston Villa win
27%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score63%
NEWNewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts
AVLAston VillaLDLWD14th · 5 pts

Ahead of Newcastle v Aston Villa in the Premier League on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Newcastle and 1.3 for Aston Villa. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Newcastle the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Newcastle win 50%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 27%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Aston Villa?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Newcastle 1–1 Aston Villa). Projected goals: Newcastle 1.9, Aston Villa 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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