Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Newcastle vs Arsenal — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 21 Nov, 17:30 UTC

Newcastle win
19%
Draw
22%
Arsenal win
59%
Most likely score0–1
Projected goals0.9 – 1.9
Over 2.5 goals54%
Both teams score52%
NEWNewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts
ARSArsenalWWWLW2nd · 15 pts

Ahead of Newcastle v Arsenal in the Premier League on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely outcome at 59%. The single most probable scoreline is 0–1, with projected goals of 0.9 for Newcastle and 1.9 for Arsenal. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Newcastle vs Arsenal?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Arsenal the most likely result at 59%. Full split: Newcastle win 19%, draw 22%, Arsenal win 59%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Arsenal?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 0–1 (Newcastle 0–1 Arsenal). Projected goals: Newcastle 0.9, Arsenal 1.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

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