Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Liverpool vs Leeds United — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 15 · Sat 12 Dec, 15:00 UTC

Liverpool win
49%
Draw
26%
Leeds United win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.5 – 1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score50%
LiverpoolDDWDW8th · 9 pts
Leeds UnitedDDWDL7th · 9 pts

Ahead of Liverpool v Leeds United in the Premier League on 12 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.5 for Liverpool and 1 for Leeds United. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Liverpool goals down (↓), Leeds United goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Leeds United?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely result at 49%. Full split: Liverpool win 49%, draw 26%, Leeds United win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Leeds United?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Liverpool 1–1 Leeds United). Projected goals: Liverpool 1.5, Leeds United 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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