Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Liverpool vs Everton — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 23 · Sat 30 Jan, 15:00 UTC

Liverpool win
47%
Draw
27%
Everton win
26%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.4 – 1
Over 2.5 goals43%
Both teams score48%
LiverpoolDDWDW8th · 9 pts
EvertonDDDWD5th · 10 pts

Ahead of Liverpool v Everton in the Premier League on 30 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.4 for Liverpool and 1 for Everton. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Liverpool goals down (↓), Everton goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Liverpool 2W · 0D · 0L.

Everton1–2Liverpool
Liverpool2–1Everton

Recent form

Liverpool
W@ Bournemouth1–0
Dvs Fulham0–0
W@ Ipswich Town2–0
Dvs Nottingham2–2
D@ Newcastle2–2
Everton
D@ Hull City2–2
Wvs Ipswich Town1–0
D@ Tottenham0–0
Dvs Man United2–2
D@ Bournemouth1–1

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Everton?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Liverpool win 47%, draw 27%, Everton win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Everton?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Liverpool 1–0 Everton). Projected goals: Liverpool 1.4, Everton 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring.

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