Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Liverpool vs Aston Villa — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 28 · Wed 3 Mar, 20:00 UTC

Liverpool win
59%
Draw
22%
Aston Villa win
19%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.9 – 1
Over 2.5 goals55%
Both teams score54%
LiverpoolDDWDW8th · 9 pts
Aston VillaLDLWD15th · 5 pts

Ahead of Liverpool v Aston Villa in the Premier League on 3 March 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely outcome at 59%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Liverpool and 1 for Aston Villa. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and 54% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Liverpool goals down (↓), Aston Villa goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

6631001110520010105200663100331000111000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Liverpool vs Aston Villa?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Liverpool the most likely result at 59%. Full split: Liverpool win 59%, draw 22%, Aston Villa win 19%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Aston Villa?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Liverpool 1–0 Aston Villa). Projected goals: Liverpool 1.9, Aston Villa 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring.

← Premier League table & projection