Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Leeds United vs Sunderland — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 37 · Sun 23 May, 14:00 UTC

Leeds United win
56%
Draw
25%
Sunderland win
19%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score46%
Leeds UnitedDDWDL7th · 9 pts
SunderlandWDLLL16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Leeds United v Sunderland in the Premier League on 23 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Leeds United the most likely outcome at 56%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.6 for Leeds United and 0.9 for Sunderland. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Leeds United goals down (↓), Sunderland goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Leeds United vs Sunderland?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Leeds United the most likely result at 56%. Full split: Leeds United win 56%, draw 25%, Sunderland win 19%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Leeds United vs Sunderland?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Leeds United 1–0 Sunderland). Projected goals: Leeds United 1.6, Sunderland 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.

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