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Premier League · Fixtures

Everton vs Sunderland — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sat 26 Dec, 15:00 UTC

Everton win
55%
Draw
27%
Sunderland win
18%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.4 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams score38%
EvertonWDDDW5th · 10 pts
SunderlandWDLLL16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Everton v Sunderland in the Premier League on 26 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Everton the most likely outcome at 55%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.4 for Everton and 0.7 for Sunderland. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Everton goals down (↓), Sunderland goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Everton the most likely result at 55%. Full split: Everton win 55%, draw 27%, Sunderland win 18%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Everton 1–0 Sunderland). Projected goals: Everton 1.4, Sunderland 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring.

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