Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Everton vs Chelsea — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 11:30 UTC

Everton win
45%
Draw
24%
Chelsea win
31%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score60%
EVEEvertonWDDDW8th · 9 pts
CHEChelseaWLDLW5th · 10 pts

Ahead of Everton v Chelsea in the Premier League on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Everton the most likely outcome at 45%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Everton and 1.3 for Chelsea. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Everton the most likely result at 45%. Full split: Everton win 45%, draw 24%, Chelsea win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Chelsea?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Everton 1–1 Chelsea). Projected goals: Everton 1.7, Chelsea 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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