Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Everton vs Aston Villa — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Tue 5 Jan, 19:30 UTC

Everton win
51%
Draw
26%
Aston Villa win
23%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score46%
EVEEvertonWDDDW8th · 9 pts
AVLAston VillaLDLWD14th · 5 pts

Ahead of Everton v Aston Villa in the Premier League on 5 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Everton the most likely outcome at 51%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.5 for Everton and 0.9 for Aston Villa. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Everton vs Aston Villa?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Everton the most likely result at 51%. Full split: Everton win 51%, draw 26%, Aston Villa win 23%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Aston Villa?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Everton 1–0 Aston Villa). Projected goals: Everton 1.5, Aston Villa 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring.

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