Chelsea vs Leeds United — Match Prediction
Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 UTC
ChelseaWLDLW
Leeds UnitedDDWDLAhead of Chelsea v Leeds United in the Premier League on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Chelsea and 1.5 for Leeds United. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Leeds United goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Chelsea winDrawLeeds United win
FAQ
Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds United?
Footyntel's model makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Chelsea win 47%, draw 22%, Leeds United win 31%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Leeds United?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Chelsea 1–1 Leeds United). Projected goals: Chelsea 1.9, Leeds United 1.5.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.