Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UTC · Full time

5 – 1

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth — Chelsea won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Chelsea to win at 62%, and the exact 5–1 scoreline at about 3%.

Pre-match model view

Chelsea win
62%
Draw
17%
Bournemouth win
21%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.7 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals80%
Both teams score73%
ChelseaWLDLW7th · 10 pts
BournemouthDDDLL17th · 3 pts

Ahead of Chelsea v Bournemouth in the Premier League on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.7 for Chelsea and 1.5 for Bournemouth. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and 73% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Chelsea goals down (↓), Bournemouth goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

122100465210586310576310354210232100012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Chelsea 1W · 2D · 0L.

Chelsea5–1Bournemouth
Chelsea2–2Bournemouth
Bournemouth0–0Chelsea

Recent form

Chelsea
Wvs Bournemouth5–1
L@ Brentford0–3
Dvs Hull City2–2
L@ Arsenal1–2
Wvs Brighton Hove4–3
Bournemouth
L@ Chelsea1–5
Lvs Liverpool0–1
Dvs Brentford2–2
D@ Newcastle2–2
Dvs Everton1–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Chelsea winDrawBournemouth win

FAQ

Who will win Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Chelsea the most likely result at 62%. Full split: Chelsea win 62%, draw 17%, Bournemouth win 21%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Bournemouth?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Chelsea 2–1 Bournemouth). Projected goals: Chelsea 2.7, Bournemouth 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 73% chance of both teams scoring.

← Premier League table & projection