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Premier League · Fixtures

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 19 · Sat 2 Jan, 17:30 UTC

Bournemouth win
43%
Draw
24%
Aston Villa win
34%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score62%
BournemouthDDDLL17th · 3 pts
Aston VillaLDLWD15th · 5 pts

Ahead of Bournemouth v Aston Villa in the Premier League on 2 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Bournemouth the most likely outcome at 43%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.7 for Bournemouth and 1.5 for Aston Villa. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Bournemouth goals down (↓), Aston Villa goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Bournemouth the most likely result at 43%. Full split: Bournemouth win 43%, draw 24%, Aston Villa win 34%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa). Projected goals: Bournemouth 1.7, Aston Villa 1.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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