Footyntel.

Premier League · Fixtures

Aston Villa vs Newcastle — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 36 · Sat 15 May, 14:00 UTC

Aston Villa win
39%
Draw
24%
Newcastle win
37%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.6
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score63%
AVLAston VillaLDLWD14th · 5 pts
NEWNewcastleDWDLW11th · 8 pts

Ahead of Aston Villa v Newcastle in the Premier League on 15 May 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Aston Villa the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Aston Villa and 1.6 for Newcastle. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 63% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa vs Newcastle?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Aston Villa the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Aston Villa win 39%, draw 24%, Newcastle win 37%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Newcastle?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Aston Villa 1–1 Newcastle). Projected goals: Aston Villa 1.6, Newcastle 1.6.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring.

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