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Premier League · Fixtures

Aston Villa vs Man United — Match Prediction

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 21 · Sat 16 Jan, 15:00 UTC

Aston Villa win
32%
Draw
24%
Man United win
44%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.4 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals60%
Both teams score62%
Aston VillaLDLWD15th · 5 pts
Man UnitedWDLDD12th · 6 pts

Ahead of Aston Villa v Man United in the Premier League on 16 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Man United the most likely outcome at 44%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.4 for Aston Villa and 1.7 for Man United. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and 62% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Aston Villa goals down (↓), Man United goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa vs Man United?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Man United the most likely result at 44%. Full split: Aston Villa win 32%, draw 24%, Man United win 44%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Man United?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Aston Villa 1–1 Man United). Projected goals: Aston Villa 1.4, Man United 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring.

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