Aston Villa vs Leeds United — Match Prediction
Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sat 26 Dec, 12:30 UTC
Aston VillaLDLWD
Leeds UnitedDDWDLAhead of Aston Villa v Leeds United in the Premier League on 26 December 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Leeds United the most likely outcome at 39%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.2 for Aston Villa and 1.3 for Leeds United. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.
Scoreline probability
Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Aston Villa goals down (↓), Leeds United goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Aston Villa winDrawLeeds United win
FAQ
Who will win Aston Villa vs Leeds United?
Footyntel's model makes an away win for Leeds United the most likely result at 39%. Full split: Aston Villa win 35%, draw 27%, Leeds United win 39%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.
What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Leeds United?
The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Aston Villa 1–1 Leeds United). Projected goals: Aston Villa 1.2, Leeds United 1.3.
Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?
The model gives a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.