Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford

Premier League 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 UTC · Full time

2 – 2

Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 24%, and the exact 2–2 scoreline at about 6%.

Pre-match model view

Aston Villa win

29%

Draw

24%

Brentford win

47%

Most likely score1–1

Projected goals1.3 – 1.7

Over 2.5 goals56%

Both teams score58%

Aston VillaLDLWD15th · 5 pts

BrentfordDDDWD4th · 10 pts

Ahead of Aston Villa v Brentford in the Premier League on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Brentford the most likely outcome at 47%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Aston Villa and 1.7 for Brentford. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Aston Villa goals down (↓), Brentford goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Aston Villa 0W · 1D · 2L.

Aston Villa2–2Brentford

Aston Villa0–1Brentford

Brentford1–0Aston Villa

Recent form

Aston Villa

Dvs Brentford2–2

W@ Tottenham3–2

Lvs Nottingham1–2

D@ Hull City0–0

Lvs Arsenal0–1

Brentford

D@ Aston Villa2–2

Wvs Chelsea3–0

D@ Bournemouth2–2

Dvs Sunderland1–1

D@ Leeds United1–1

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Aston Villa win Draw Brentford win

FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa vs Brentford?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Brentford the most likely result at 47%. Full split: Aston Villa win 29%, draw 24%, Brentford win 47%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa vs Brentford?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Aston Villa 1–1 Brentford). Projected goals: Aston Villa 1.3, Brentford 1.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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