Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Troyes vs Marseille — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sun 11 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Troyes win
27%
Draw
23%
Marseille win
50%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.5 goals61%
Both teams score61%
ETRTroyesDWLLL16th · 4 pts
MARMarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts

Ahead of Troyes v Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 11 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes an away win for Marseille the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.3 for Troyes and 1.8 for Marseille. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and 61% chance both teams score.

FAQ

Who will win Troyes vs Marseille?

Footyntel's model makes an away win for Marseille the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Troyes win 27%, draw 23%, Marseille win 50%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Troyes vs Marseille?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Troyes 1–1 Marseille). Projected goals: Troyes 1.3, Marseille 1.8.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring.

← Ligue 1 table & projection