Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Toulouse vs Troyes — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sat 24 Oct, 15:15 UTC

Toulouse win
61%
Draw
20%
Troyes win
18%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.1 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals62%
Both teams score58%
ToulouseDLDWD14th · 6 pts
TroyesDWLLL16th · 4 pts

Ahead of Toulouse v Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 24 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely outcome at 61%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.1 for Toulouse and 1.1 for Troyes. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Toulouse goals down (↓), Troyes goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Recent form

Toulouse
D@ Monaco2–2
Wvs Le Havre3–2
D@ Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille0–1
D@ Brest2–2
Troyes
L@ Angers SCO0–2
L@ Lille0–2
Lvs Strasbourg2–6
W@ Lorient2–1
Dvs Paris FC0–0

FAQ

Who will win Toulouse vs Troyes?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Toulouse the most likely result at 61%. Full split: Toulouse win 61%, draw 20%, Troyes win 18%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Troyes?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Toulouse 2–1 Troyes). Projected goals: Toulouse 2.1, Troyes 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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