Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

PSG vs Olympique Lyon — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sun 25 Oct, 19:45 UTC

PSG win
49%
Draw
25%
Olympique Lyon win
26%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals50%
Both teams score52%
PSGDLWWW5th · 11 pts
Olympique LyonDWDWL3rd · 11 pts

Ahead of PSG v Olympique Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for PSG the most likely outcome at 49%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for PSG and 1.1 for Olympique Lyon. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — PSG goals down (↓), Olympique Lyon goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

78410011126210995200553100221000110000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win PSG vs Olympique Lyon?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for PSG the most likely result at 49%. Full split: PSG win 49%, draw 25%, Olympique Lyon win 26%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for PSG vs Olympique Lyon?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (PSG 1–1 Olympique Lyon). Projected goals: PSG 1.6, Olympique Lyon 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

← Ligue 1 table & projection