Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

PSG 3–1 Le Mans

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 UTC · Full time

3 – 1

PSG 3–1 Le Mans — PSG won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated PSG to win at 77%, and the exact 3–1 scoreline at about 8%.

Pre-match model view

PSG win
77%
Draw
14%
Le Mans win
9%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals73%
Both teams score58%
PSGDLWWW5th · 11 pts
Le MansLDDWL14th · 6 pts

Ahead of PSG v Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for PSG the most likely outcome at 77%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.9 for PSG and 0.9 for Le Mans. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and 58% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — PSG goals down (↓), Le Mans goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

221000663100994100984100663100432100012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 1 meeting — PSG 1W · 0D · 0L.

PSG3–1Le Mans

Recent form

PSG
Wvs Le Mans3–1
W@ Marseille2–1
W@ Brest1–0
Lvs Monaco1–2
D@ Lille2–2
Le Mans
L@ PSG1–3
Wvs Lorient2–1
Dvs RC Lens2–2
D@ Nice1–1
L@ Stade Rennais2–3
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: PSG winDrawLe Mans win

FAQ

Who will win PSG vs Le Mans?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for PSG the most likely result at 77%. Full split: PSG win 77%, draw 14%, Le Mans win 9%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for PSG vs Le Mans?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (PSG 2–0 Le Mans). Projected goals: PSG 2.9, Le Mans 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring.

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