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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

PSG vs Auxerre — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 17 · Sat 23 Jan, 00:00 UTC

PSG win
80%
Draw
13%
Auxerre win
7%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals69%
Both teams score49%
PSGDLWWW5th · 11 pts
AuxerreLLLWW15th · 6 pts

Ahead of PSG v Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on 23 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for PSG the most likely outcome at 80%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.8 for PSG and 0.7 for Auxerre. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — PSG goals down (↓), Auxerre goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — PSG 2W · 0D · 0L.

Auxerre0–1PSG
PSG2–0Auxerre

Recent form

PSG
Wvs Le Mans3–1
W@ Marseille2–1
W@ Brest1–0
Lvs Monaco1–2
D@ Lille2–2
Auxerre
Wvs Brest2–1
Wvs Nice1–0
L@ Olympique Lyon1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
L@ RC Lens2–5
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: PSG winDrawAuxerre win

FAQ

Who will win PSG vs Auxerre?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for PSG the most likely result at 80%. Full split: PSG win 80%, draw 13%, Auxerre win 7%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for PSG vs Auxerre?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (PSG 2–0 Auxerre). Projected goals: PSG 2.8, Auxerre 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring.

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