Monaco 2–2 Toulouse

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 18:45 UTC · Full time

2 – 2

Monaco 2–2 Toulouse — the sides drew. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated a draw at 20%, and the exact 2–2 scoreline at about 5%.

Pre-match model view

Monaco win

62%

Draw

20%

Toulouse win

18%

Most likely score2–1

Projected goals2.2 – 1.1

Over 2.5 goals65%

Both teams score60%

MonacoWWDWD1st · 14 pts

ToulouseDLDWD15th · 6 pts

Ahead of Monaco v Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Monaco the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.2 for Monaco and 1.1 for Toulouse. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Monaco goals down (↓), Toulouse goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Monaco 1W · 2D · 0L.

Monaco2–2Toulouse

Toulouse2–2Monaco

Monaco1–0Toulouse

Recent form

Monaco

Dvs Toulouse2–2

Wvs RC Lens2–1

D@ Strasbourg1–1

W@ PSG2–1

Wvs Marseille2–0

Toulouse

D@ Monaco2–2

Wvs Le Havre3–2

D@ Lorient2–2

Lvs Lille0–1

D@ Brest2–2

What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Monaco win Draw Toulouse win

FAQ

Who will win Monaco vs Toulouse?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Monaco the most likely result at 62%. Full split: Monaco win 62%, draw 20%, Toulouse win 18%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Toulouse?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Monaco 2–1 Toulouse). Projected goals: Monaco 2.2, Toulouse 1.1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring.

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