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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Monaco vs Auxerre — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sat 21 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Monaco win
71%
Draw
17%
Auxerre win
12%
Most likely score2–0
Projected goals2.4 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals64%
Both teams score53%
MonacoWWDWD1st · 14 pts
AuxerreLLLWW15th · 6 pts

Ahead of Monaco v Auxerre in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Monaco the most likely outcome at 71%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–0, with projected goals of 2.4 for Monaco and 0.9 for Auxerre. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Monaco goals down (↓), Auxerre goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Monaco 1W · 1D · 0L.

Monaco2–2Auxerre
Auxerre1–2Monaco

Recent form

Monaco
Dvs Toulouse2–2
Wvs RC Lens2–1
D@ Strasbourg1–1
W@ PSG2–1
Wvs Marseille2–0
Auxerre
Wvs Brest2–1
Wvs Nice1–0
L@ Olympique Lyon1–3
Lvs Angers SCO1–3
L@ RC Lens2–5
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Monaco winDrawAuxerre win

FAQ

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Monaco the most likely result at 71%. Full split: Monaco win 71%, draw 17%, Auxerre win 12%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Monaco vs Auxerre?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–0 (Monaco 2–0 Auxerre). Projected goals: Monaco 2.4, Auxerre 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring.

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