Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Marseille vs Le Mans — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 11 · Sun 22 Nov, 19:45 UTC

Marseille win
62%
Draw
19%
Le Mans win
19%
Most likely score2–1
Projected goals2.4 – 1.3
Over 2.5 goals71%
Both teams score65%
MarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts
Le MansLDDWL12th · 6 pts

Ahead of Marseille v Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 22 November 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Marseille the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 2–1, with projected goals of 2.4 for Marseille and 1.3 for Le Mans. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and 65% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Marseille goals down (↓), Le Mans goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

332100685210796310675210343100221100012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Marseille vs Le Mans?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Marseille the most likely result at 62%. Full split: Marseille win 62%, draw 19%, Le Mans win 19%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Le Mans?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 2–1 (Marseille 2–1 Le Mans). Projected goals: Marseille 2.4, Le Mans 1.3.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring.

← Ligue 1 table & projection