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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Marseille vs Le Havre — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 8 · Sun 25 Oct, 16:15 UTC

Marseille win
63%
Draw
22%
Le Havre win
14%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score43%
MarseilleWLLLL17th · 3 pts
Le HavreDLDLL18th · 2 pts

Ahead of Marseille v Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 25 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Marseille the most likely outcome at 63%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.8 for Marseille and 0.7 for Le Havre. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Marseille goals down (↓), Le Havre goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Marseille 2W · 0D · 0L.

Le Havre0–1Marseille
Marseille6–2Le Havre

Recent form

Marseille
Lvs PSG1–2
L@ Stade Rennais0–1
Lvs Paris FC2–3
L@ Monaco0–2
Wvs Strasbourg4–0
Le Havre
L@ Lille0–1
L@ Toulouse2–3
Dvs Angers SCO0–0
Lvs Brest1–2
D@ Olympique Lyon1–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Marseille winDrawLe Havre win

FAQ

Who will win Marseille vs Le Havre?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Marseille the most likely result at 63%. Full split: Marseille win 63%, draw 22%, Le Havre win 14%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Marseille vs Le Havre?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Marseille 1–0 Le Havre). Projected goals: Marseille 1.8, Le Havre 0.7.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring.

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