Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Lille vs RC Lens — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 9 · Fri 30 Oct, 20:05 UTC

Lille win
50%
Draw
25%
RC Lens win
25%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.6 – 1
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score52%
LilleDWWLW2nd · 13 pts
RC LensLLDLW10th · 7 pts

Ahead of Lille v RC Lens in the Ligue 1 on 30 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Lille the most likely outcome at 50%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.6 for Lille and 1 for RC Lens. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Lille goals down (↓), RC Lens goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

774100111262109105200553100221000110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings — Lille 1W · 0D · 1L.

Lille3–0RC Lens
RC Lens3–0Lille

Recent form

Lille
Wvs Le Havre1–0
L@ Nice1–2
Wvs Troyes2–0
W@ Toulouse1–0
Dvs PSG2–2
RC Lens
Wvs Olympique Lyon2–1
L@ Monaco1–2
D@ Le Mans2–2
Lvs Lorient0–1
L@ Strasbourg1–2
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Lille winDrawRC Lens win

FAQ

Who will win Lille vs RC Lens?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Lille the most likely result at 50%. Full split: Lille win 50%, draw 25%, RC Lens win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs RC Lens?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Lille 1–1 RC Lens). Projected goals: Lille 1.6, RC Lens 1.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring.

← Ligue 1 table & projection