Footyntel.

Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Lille 1–0 Le Havre

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 6 · Sat 10 Oct, 15:15 UTC · Full time

1 – 0

Lille 1–0 Le Havre — Lille won. Footyntel's pre-match model had rated Lille to win at 66%, and the exact 1–0 scoreline at about 20%.

Pre-match model view

Lille win
66%
Draw
24%
Le Havre win
10%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.6 – 0.5
Over 2.5 goals34%
Both teams score29%
LilleDWWLW2nd · 13 pts
Le HavreDLDLL18th · 2 pts

Ahead of Lille v Le Havre in the Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Lille the most likely outcome at 66%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.6 for Lille and 0.5 for Le Havre. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and 29% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Lille goals down (↓), Le Havre goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

136100020920001672000941000420000110000012345012345

Head-to-head

Last 3 meetings — Lille 2W · 1D · 0L.

Lille1–0Le Havre
Lille1–1Le Havre
Le Havre0–1Lille

Recent form

Lille
Wvs Le Havre1–0
L@ Nice1–2
Wvs Troyes2–0
W@ Toulouse1–0
Dvs PSG2–2
Le Havre
L@ Lille0–1
L@ Toulouse2–3
Dvs Angers SCO0–0
Lvs Brest1–2
D@ Olympique Lyon1–1
What would each result do to the table?
Lock it in the interactive simulator: Lille winDrawLe Havre win

FAQ

Who will win Lille vs Le Havre?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Lille the most likely result at 66%. Full split: Lille win 66%, draw 24%, Le Havre win 10%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Le Havre?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Lille 1–0 Le Havre). Projected goals: Lille 1.6, Le Havre 0.5.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring.

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