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Ligue 1 · Fixtures

Lille vs Brest — Match Prediction

Ligue 1 2026/27 · Matchday 7 · Sat 17 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Lille win
62%
Draw
22%
Brest win
16%
Most likely score1–0
Projected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score50%
LilleDWWLW2nd · 13 pts
BrestDWLLW7th · 8 pts

Ahead of Lille v Brest in the Ligue 1 on 17 October 2026, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Lille the most likely outcome at 62%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–0, with projected goals of 1.9 for Lille and 0.9 for Brest. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Lille goals down (↓), Brest goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

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FAQ

Who will win Lille vs Brest?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Lille the most likely result at 62%. Full split: Lille win 62%, draw 22%, Brest win 16%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Brest?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–0 (Lille 1–0 Brest). Projected goals: Lille 1.9, Brest 0.9.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring.

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