Footyntel.

La Liga · Fixtures

Villarreal vs Alavés — Match Prediction

La Liga 2026/27 · Matchday 20 · Sun 17 Jan, 00:00 UTC

Villarreal win
53%
Draw
23%
Alavés win
25%
Most likely score1–1
Projected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score59%
VillarrealLLWWL11th · 8 pts
AlavésWLLDL6th · 11 pts

Ahead of Villarreal v Alavés in the La Liga on 17 January 2027, Footyntel's model — built from each side's attack and defence strength and blended with last season's form — makes a home win for Villarreal the most likely outcome at 53%. The single most probable scoreline is 1–1, with projected goals of 1.9 for Villarreal and 1.2 for Alavés. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and 59% chance both teams score.

Scoreline probability

Model probability (%) of each scoreline — Villarreal goals down (↓), Alavés goals across (→). The outlined cell is the most likely result.

56310091063108106210564100232100111000012345012345

FAQ

Who will win Villarreal vs Alavés?

Footyntel's model makes a home win for Villarreal the most likely result at 53%. Full split: Villarreal win 53%, draw 23%, Alavés win 25%. It is a statistical model, not betting advice.

What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Alavés?

The most probable scoreline from the model is 1–1 (Villarreal 1–1 Alavés). Projected goals: Villarreal 1.9, Alavés 1.2.

Will both teams score / will there be over 2.5 goals?

The model gives a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring.

← La Liga table & projection